Tuesday, July 05, 2005

We're All Gonna Die!

Entering a dark age of innovation

This is interesting.

"But according to a new analysis, this view couldn't be more wrong: far from being in technological nirvana, we are fast approaching a new dark age. That, at least, is the conclusion of Jonathan Huebner, a physicist working at the Pentagon's Naval Air Warfare Center in China Lake, California. He says the rate of technological innovation reached a peak a century ago and has been declining ever since."
Found this reading The Corner this morning. There has been some ongoing discussion about the changing demographics of Europe, Canada, and America. (More on Europe's population decline and its effects here and here.) Part of that includes discussion on the effects of gay marriage legalization, but mostly the discussion is about the impacts of rapidly declining birthrates in Europe and Canada. (American birthrates are declining much more slowly, and have been fairly stable at right about replacement rate for the last several years.) Interesting stuff, although the conclusions you draw may vary.

*Quick aside, for the nit-pickers out there: Yes, I know we are all going to die someday. No one gets out of life alive. But the article seems to imply a slow, cold, miserable death in the dark as science comes to a screeching halt; not dying as a happily old man in my bed, a demise I prefer over the former.

6 Comments:

At 2:26 PM, Blogger Nathan said...

I agree with Ray Kurzweil who makes the observation that, "He uses an arbitrary list of about 7000 events that have no basis as a measure of innovation. If one uses arbitrary measures, the results will not be meaningful."

Bad assumptions = bad results.

Might as well close the patent office and throw away the 250,000 new applications that come in every year. They are obviously trivial according to this nut!

 
At 2:45 PM, Blogger Nathan said...

Changing Demographics:

Europe is screwed, and they won't do anything about it. I pose the question, "What is the incentive to work if the welfare system will take care of you just as well if you don't?" The trend is obvious. More people will get fed up working hard to support the sluggards, and will give up and join the welfare masses because it's so much easier.

Declining population will screw them faster. They have no respect for marriage or family, which will accelerate current problems. Eventually, there will be so many Islamic immigrants that the EU will become a giant Near East.

 
At 3:37 PM, Blogger Maine Man said...

What do you mean Europe "won't do anything about it?" Of course their doing something about it: hastening their decline.

Regardless of where their going, the French will thumb their noses at us on their way down.

 
At 9:06 AM, Blogger Tyler said...

One more thing - Canada is rapidly heading down the same road Europe is going, Islamist whackos and all.

And we share the world's longest undefended border with them.

 
At 12:46 PM, Blogger Nathan said...

So, if a Canadian follower of Islam decides to start a holy war, is it a Jihad-ay?

 
At 4:16 PM, Blogger The Niem said...

Now THAT's comedy!

 

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